Siberia is famous for its taiga. For me, someone who was born and has spent most of her life in Siberia, it is more than a vast green expanse on a map. It is a forest where thousands of animal species live, find food and raise their young.

The Amazon rainforest and the Siberian taiga are often called the “lungs of the planet”. It is a metaphor, but the role forests play is very real: they store carbon, take part in the water cycle and help regulate the climate. And protecting them is not just a question for the Amazon. The Siberian taiga, too, suffers from fires, logging, including illegal logging, and the destruction of forest ecosystems.

Warming, early snowmelt and dry weather can create conditions for a longer and more dangerous fire season. Fires and logging, in turn, change animals’ habitats. But the words “habitat loss” can obscure something simple: an animal needs somewhere to live and something to eat.

When a bear appears near people’s homes, the first thing we see is a threat. And that threat is real: encounters can cost people their lives. People must be protected. But I also want to understand what happened before the animal arrived. Did it have enough natural food? What had happened to the forest? Had there been fires, logging or a poor crop of berries and nuts? And what part did accessible rubbish dumps and food waste play in teaching animals to look for food near us?

Shooting a dangerous bear may be an unavoidable last resort. But it does not answer the question of why the danger arose, or what needs to change to prevent it from happening again. If human activity destroys animals’ habitats and food supplies, our responsibility begins long before we meet a bear on the edge of a village.

For me, these events are a reason to investigate how global climate change and forest destruction affect everyday life in particular parts of Siberia. The climate is changing under the influence of greenhouse gas emissions, including carbon dioxide and methane. Forest loss makes the problem worse: stored carbon is released, and natural processes on which both people and animals depend are disrupted.

I do not want to assume that every bear approaching a settlement is doing so because of climate change or logging. I want to examine that connection, using data on weather, fires, forest conditions and natural food supplies. Because the story of a bear near someone’s home may begin far from that home, where we have stopped noticing what is happening to the taiga.

Yaylyu: the forest, the orchards and the bears

In the Altai village of Yaylyu, bears were seen near homes and fruit trees in the summer and autumn of 2026. Staff at the Altai Nature Reserve described animals eating apples and pears and entering people’s yards. An October report from the village described a simple sequence: once the available fruit in the school grounds was gone, the bears stopped visiting.[1]

Two sources of food came together here. A poor crop of Siberian pine seeds had been reported in the taiga around Lake Teletskoye. In the village, there were fruit trees. For a bear, forest food and orchard fruit were part of the same landscape, even though people drew a boundary between them: this is the taiga, and this is our yard.

Patrols began around Yaylyu on 22 August. By mid-October, the situation had eased, according to a report on the inspectors’ work. Between those dates lay almost two months of living with bears close by.[2]

Something similar had happened here before. In his account of the 2018 season, reserve employee Yuri Kalinkin reported roughly twelve different bears seen near Yaylyu in September and October. Pine nuts were scarce that year. Yet rowan, viburnum and currants produced good crops, while bilberries and raspberries produced average ones.[3]

This detail helps explain what a food shortage means. A forest can remain green and produce berries while yielding few of the nuts that matter for autumn feeding. What counts for an animal is the kind of food, how much there is, and whether it is available when the animal needs to build up reserves for winter.

The story of Yaylyu therefore begins before the first report of a bear near a house. It includes earlier seasons, plant development, harvests and orchards where an animal finds an alternative to its usual food.

A forest cabin visited by a bear since spring

In Transbaikalia, a camera trap recorded a different sequence. In the Bolshaya Burecha River basin, a bear was recorded near a remote forest cabin on 14 and 27 May and on 4 and 11 June 2026. On 3 August, the camera recorded a bear opening the door and going inside.

These dates appear in a CHITA.ru article based on a report from the Sokhondinsky Nature Reserve. Staff also described poor crops of pine nuts, blueberries and lingonberries. They suggested that the bear was looking for food; its precise motives cannot be established. People leave provisions in cabins like this.[4]

The dates matter: a bear had been recorded near the building in spring, before the reported poor crop in late summer. The article does not say whether all the footage was confirmed to show the same animal.

For a person, a forest cabin provides shelter and supplies for a long stay in the taiga. For a bear, food left there also becomes something it can reach. A human source of food is introduced deep inside the forest, far from a village.

Tomsk Region and Kuzbass: what happened to the food supply

As early as July, a forecast from Russia’s Federal Forestry Agency rated the pine nut, lingonberry and cranberry crops in Tomsk Region at two points out of five.[5] By September, accounts of the actual season were appearing. In an interview on 23 September, Andrey Kolomin, head of the regional hunting authority, described very poor natural food supplies and small bilberries growing unevenly across the forest.[6]

A pine nut buyer saw another side of the same season. In an October interview, he described a fall in deliveries from Bazoy in Tomsk Region and Tisul in Kuzbass.[7] This indirect evidence is consistent with reports of poor crops. However, purchasing volumes also depend on harvesting and trading conditions and do not, by themselves, measure the forest’s yield.

In a statement dated 20 August, the Kuzbass forestry authority specifically listed food waste and the remains of domestic animals among the reasons bears appeared near settlements. In September, poor crops and possible movements of animals from neighbouring regions were added to the explanations.[8, 9]

Kuzbass has a history of this too. An April 2021 article about two young bears near Syrkashinskaya Mountain in Mezhdurechensk described them feeding at a rubbish dump and being fed by people. Both animals were eventually shot.[10]

Rubbish sites, food scraps and deliberate feeding are all things people provide. They give an animal repeated experience of finding food near us. Its later appearances near people become a continuation of that experience.

Siberia · 2018–2026

Bears near people: nine years in four regions

Every year since 2018 is shown for each area. Coloured bars mark the values found; a dashed row marks a gap in the collected data. Some figures cover only part of a season: the period is given beside each value.

The regions use different scales. Reports and calls may refer to the same event more than once; their number is not the number of bears or attacks. Complete, comparable annual series are not yet available for all four regions.

Novosibirsk Region

Recorded cases of bears approaching people

Scale: 050
  1. 2018No value found
  2. 201913 [30]

    Full year

  3. 202017 [30]

    Full year

  4. 20216 [30]

    Full year

  5. 202212 [30]

    Full year

  6. 202314 [30]

    From the start of the year; published 22 September

  7. 2024No value found
  8. 2025No value found
  9. 202643 [26]

    January–September

2019–2022: annual figures from a retrospective report citing the Ministry of Natural Resources, published by NGS. The figures for 2023 and 2026 cover only part of the year. The figures of 77 and 83 for 2024–2025 refer to all wild animals and are not included in the bear series.

Kemerovo Region — Kuzbass

Reports to the police of bears entering settlements

Scale: 03,000
  1. 2018No value found
  2. 2019No value found
  3. 2020No value found
  4. 2021No value found
  5. 2022No value found
  6. 2023No value found
  7. 2024102 [31]

    Full year

  8. 202595 [31]

    Full year

  9. 20262,600 [31]

    From the start of the year; published 2 October

All three values come from one channel: the police duty office, as reported by the regional directorate of the Ministry of Internal Affairs. The 2026 figure covers an incomplete year. Multiple reports may concern a single event. The earlier figures of 30 and 35 reports made directly to the ministry come from a different reporting channel and are given separately in the note.

Irkutsk Region

Calls and reports about bears

Scale: 02,000
  1. 2018No value found
  2. 2019No value found
  3. 2020No value found
  4. 202149 [32]

    From the start of the year; published 24 September

  5. 2022No value found
  6. 2023No value found
  7. 2024More than 20 [33]

    From the start of the year; published 5 July

  8. 2025No value found
  9. 2026More than 1,500 [28]

    During the active season; published 19 September

These are three published snapshots with different coverage. In 2021, reports concerned bears approaching people, including at industrial sites; in 2024, they concerned bears approaching settlements; in 2026, they were reports to dispatchers about bears near settlements and roads. They cannot be read as a single series from one service.

Krasnoyarsk Territory

Calls and reports to the regional ministry

Scale: 01,200
  1. 2018More than 280 [34]

    During the season; published 17 October

  2. 2019115 [35]

    From the start of the year; published 15 August

  3. 2020No value found
  4. 2021No value found
  5. 2022No value found
  6. 2023No value found
  7. 2024More than 40 [36]

    From the start of the year; published 11 July

  8. 2025No value found
  9. 2026More than 1,000 [29]

    From the start of the year; published 17 September

These are seasonal snapshots published on different dates. For 2018, the figure comes from a report published during that season: more than 280. An August 2019 article gives 200 for the previous year; the material obtained does not explain the difference. For 2026, the wording of the September interview is retained: “more than a thousand reports”.

Periods, reporting channels and sources

Kuzbass: the ministry received 30 reports in 2025 and 35 from the start of 2026, according to the publication dated 20 August. This is a separate record, not part of the police series. [27]

Krasnoyarsk Territory: another NGS24 article, dated 1 October 2026, gives more than 500 “official reports”. The material does not explain how this measure differs from the more than a thousand “reports” in the September interview. Both publications have been saved; no change in the number of events is calculated from them. Article dated 1 October.

Values found by region: 2018–2026
RegionYearValuePeriodReporting channelSource
Novosibirsk Region2018No value found———
Novosibirsk Region201913Full yearMinistry of Natural Resources[30]
Novosibirsk Region202017Full yearMinistry of Natural Resources[30]
Novosibirsk Region20216Full yearMinistry of Natural Resources[30]
Novosibirsk Region202212Full yearMinistry of Natural Resources[30]
Novosibirsk Region202314From the start of the year; published 22 SeptemberMinistry of Natural Resources[30]
Novosibirsk Region2024No value found———
Novosibirsk Region2025No value found———
Novosibirsk Region202643January–SeptemberMinistry of Natural Resources[26]
Kemerovo Region — Kuzbass2018No value found———
Kemerovo Region — Kuzbass2019No value found———
Kemerovo Region — Kuzbass2020No value found———
Kemerovo Region — Kuzbass2021No value found———
Kemerovo Region — Kuzbass2022No value found———
Kemerovo Region — Kuzbass2023No value found———
Kemerovo Region — Kuzbass2024102Full yearPolice[31]
Kemerovo Region — Kuzbass202595Full yearPolice[31]
Kemerovo Region — Kuzbass20262,600From the start of the year; published 2 OctoberPolice[31]
Irkutsk Region2018No value found———
Irkutsk Region2019No value found———
Irkutsk Region2020No value found———
Irkutsk Region202149From the start of the year; published 24 SeptemberPublic reports; information from the wildlife protection service[32]
Irkutsk Region2022No value found———
Irkutsk Region2023No value found———
Irkutsk Region2024More than 20From the start of the year; published 5 JulyReports of bears approaching settlements[33]
Irkutsk Region2025No value found———
Irkutsk Region2026More than 1,500During the active season; published 19 SeptemberUnified dispatch service[28]
Krasnoyarsk Territory2018More than 280During the season; published 17 OctoberReports to the ministry[34]
Krasnoyarsk Territory2019115From the start of the year; published 15 AugustPublic reports[35]
Krasnoyarsk Territory2020No value found———
Krasnoyarsk Territory2021No value found———
Krasnoyarsk Territory2022No value found———
Krasnoyarsk Territory2023No value found———
Krasnoyarsk Territory2024More than 40From the start of the year; published 11 JulyReports to the Ministry of Natural Resources[36]
Krasnoyarsk Territory2025No value found———
Krasnoyarsk Territory2026More than 1,000From the start of the year; published 17 SeptemberReports to the Ministry of Natural Resources[29]

Chart data: CSV · Data sources and notes

Altai · fires, food and observations

What was happening to the forest and the bears

The fire series covers the entire Altai Nature Reserve. Observations of food supplies and bears concern the area around Yaylyu and the taiga near Lake Teletskoye.

Area burned

Altai Nature Reserve · hectares per calendar year

The zeros for 2020 and 2022 appear in the original table. Final figures for 2025–2026 have not been obtained in the collected material; dashes mark gaps. Area burned is not the same as the area of forest killed by fire. [25]

2018

Few nuts, but not all berries were scarce

A poor pine nut crop. Good crops of rowan, viburnum and currants; average crops of bilberries and raspberries.

About 12 different bears were seen near Yaylyu in September–October. [3]

2019–2025

The collected material does not contain a comparable annual series of food crops and bear visits near Yaylyu.

2026

A poor Siberian pine seed crop, and fruit in the orchards

Bears ate apples and pears near homes. Visits to the school grounds stopped once the available fruit was gone.

Patrols began on 22 August; by mid-October, the situation had eased. [1] [2]

This is a chronology of information covering different areas. Linking particular fires to bear visits near Yaylyu requires mapped fire boundaries and information on feeding areas; the reserve-wide total of hectares burned does not establish that local link.

View the source of the fire series

Beregoshev and colleagues, 2025, Table 1, printed p. 7. The table lists thunderstorms as the cause of the fires shown. Open the saved PDF.

What logging and fire leave behind

As the climate warms, the conditions in which forests burn are changing too. Scholten and colleagues, studying extreme fire seasons in northeastern Siberia, showed the combined influence of early snowmelt and changes in high-altitude air currents: together, they helped produce unusually warm and dry conditions, followed by high levels of lightning and fire activity. Earlier snowmelt gives forest fuels more time to dry out and extends the period during which fire can spread. This is an established mechanism shaping fire conditions; the reasons for particular bear visits are examined through local evidence on natural food, forest conditions and food available near people.[24]

A poor crop in a particular year and the loss of a feeding area are different processes. In one, plants remain in place but produce little fruit. In the other, the forest itself changes: trees are felled or die, vegetation is damaged by fire, and a former source of food disappears from the site.

A Siberian study by Elena Kukavskaya and colleagues shows how logging and fire can compound each other’s effects. The researchers surveyed one hundred plots at twenty-three sites in the Angara region, the Shushensko-Minusinsk region and Transbaikalia. They compared forests with different histories of logging and fire.

On logged sites in the Angara region, fuel loads reached 135 tonnes per hectare, largely because of logging debris. Repeated fires on logged sites were accompanied by poor tree regeneration and a shift to herbaceous vegetation. Under the conditions studied in Transbaikalia, fire hazard was higher at illegally logged sites than at legally logged ones. The effects varied by area and logging method.[11]

These findings show a concrete human contribution. Logging leaves material that can feed a later fire. Repeated burning changes how a forest recovers. Behind the words “logged” and “burnt” are changes in conditions that last for years.

For animals, those conditions include food and shelter. A feeding area cannot be restored by a decision on paper: plants need time to grow and begin producing fruit and seeds.

Regional authorities have also discussed the effects of fires on bears. In September 2026, Yakutia’s Ministry of Ecology linked the difficult situation in the Mirninsky, Suntarsky and Olenyoksky districts to a shortage of natural food after summer fires. A similar explanation had been given at a press conference in Irkutsk Region back in September 2021: poor berry and cone crops, fires in the north of the region, and movements of animals.[12, 13]

Fire changes forests in different ways. On some disturbed sites, berry shrubs spread over time. The Canadian study by Proctor and colleagues concerns grizzly bears: it shows the importance of such feeding areas while also examining the dangers associated with roads and human access.[14]

This is part of the story of forest recovery. A berry patch in a newly opened area and a mature stand of cone-bearing Siberian pines provide different foods at different times. The area that has become covered in vegetation again does not, on its own, tell us which food sources have returned.

Roads, and a harvest shared by people and bears

We usually notice the last part of the journey: a bear has come out of the forest. But people are also going deeper into the forest.

A study of bear attacks in Russia in 2001–2018 found an association in Siberia between the number of human casualties, road density and the presence of Siberian pine. The authors discuss human access to food resources shared with bears: pine nuts and berries.[15]

A road opens up places that used to be hard to reach. People come to gather wild food, work and spend their leisure time. Their routes intersect with those of animals.

Human pressure on a forest is therefore not just a matter of how much land has been logged. The road network, access to feeding areas and people’s behaviour within them also matter. A forest may still be there on the map while the intensity of our presence changes considerably.

Different countries · different recording systems

Where reports of bears increased

Each panel compares one area with itself. Calls and sightings include encounters without an attack.

Canada

British Columbia

Calls about black bears
January–July of each year

An increase of 20.3%

Calls received · [16]

United States

Colorado

Reports of black bear sightings and conflicts
1 January–13 August of each year

Colorado Parks and Wildlife · [17]

Other countries: similar mechanisms, different seasons

Reports from Siberia prompted us to look at other forest regions. There, too, bears appear near homes, encounters turn into conflicts, and decisions are made to shoot animals. But similar headlines can conceal very different circumstances and scales.

In British Columbia, 8,797 calls about black bears were recorded in January–July 2026, compared with 7,312 in the same months of 2025: an increase of 20.3%. These are calls to the service, including reports of sightings; they are counted separately from attacks and human casualties.[16]

In Colorado, the wildlife agency received 6,129 reports of black bear sightings and conflicts between 1 January and 13 August 2026, compared with 3,115 over the same period a year earlier. The agency described a shortage of natural food in parts of the state amid low mountain snowpack, drought and fires. Near homes, bears found rubbish, bird feed and pet food.[17]

The same food becomes a problem along tourist routes. In September, Canada’s Waterton national park warned of a bear that approached people and showed interest in their food on trails and at campsites.[18]

Japan presents a different picture. Official tables record 68 human casualties, including fatalities, in April–September 2026. The 2026 figures are provisional and were updated on 14 October 2026. In the same months of 2025 there were 108 casualties, and in 2023 there were 109. Yet more people died in 2026: six, compared with five and two respectively. The number of incidents and the severity of their consequences do not necessarily move in the same direction.[19]

Forest food supplies differ too. In Tohoku, beech trees produced a much better crop in 2026 than in the poor years of 2023 and 2025. On Hokkaido, the forestry authority reported poor crops of mizunara oak acorns and wild grapes, but better fruiting among other plants surveyed.[20, 21]

Local differences matter in Europe as well. The prefecture of Romania’s Covasna County reported 300 calls to the 112 emergency number in the first eight months of 2026, more than the 216 recorded in the whole of 2025. The report separately mentioned two attacks on people in the current year. Meanwhile, in its October 2026 account of a young bear near Nýdek, the Czech nature conservation agency noted that it stayed in the forest and did not seek contact with people.[22, 23]

What emerges is not one worldwide wave, but many local stories. In some places, calls have risen sharply. In others, an animal has simply appeared within its range. Elsewhere, the season has provided more natural food than the previous one, yet individual encounters have ended in deaths.

When an encounter ends in injury or death

Japan: incidents and their consequences

April–September of each year. Three measures are shown separately: a single incident can affect more than one person.

Incidents involving human injury or death

Human casualties

Of whom, fatalities

Human casualties include fatalities. The national totals cover more than one bear species. The 2026 figures are provisional and were updated on 14 October 2026. The third panel has its own scale, from 0 to 8 people. [19]

Source tables and values
Japan, April–September
YearIncidentsHuman casualties, including fatalitiesFatalities
20231051092
2025991085
202664686

2023 table · PDF · 2025 table · PDF · 2026 table · PDF

What begins before a bear is shot

Time passes between changes in a forest and the appearance of a bear near people’s homes. Logging, fire, the growth of food plants, a poor seasonal crop, an animal learning to use a new source of food: each process takes its own time.

The measures for which people are responsible must therefore begin early too. They include protecting feeding areas, managing logging debris, preventing fires, planning roads and dealing with food waste. For a village, both a large dump on its outskirts and food left accessible beside individual houses matter.

A threat to people has to be dealt with immediately. But removing a particular dangerous animal does not restore the forest, clear away the rubbish or prevent the next poor crop.

Our material shows how important it is to bring together things that usually end up in separate reports: forest conditions, natural food crops, fires, logging, roads and events near people’s homes. This is where the human part of the story lies: in decisions made long before the first alarmed phone call.

Everyone sees the bear near the village. The changes that brought it there may go unnoticed for years. An account of human safety is incomplete without the forest the animal came from, and what we do in that forest.

Sources
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  2. Altai inspectors hold the line at the edge of the taiga · 21 October 2026
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